Gavin Williams

RHP / LHB · Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians

Thu @ 1:11 PM

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Gavin Williams

PRHP / LHBStrikeouts 10.5C-

Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians · Thu @ 1:11 PM

Opp K Rank: 12th(21.6% K)

C-🚫

Below Avg

O +100

O -137

CLE

ProbO 20%U 80%

Best O +100

Best U —

2 books · PrizePicks DraftKings Pick6

Real Strikeouts Line · The Odds API

10.5

O +100U —

Real DFS line · Season avg 7.3, 20 GP · PrizePicks DraftKings Pick6

Game Log — Strikeouts

MLB StatsAPI · filtered 20/20 games

Pick GradeC-

Line 10.5

5/22@ PHI

5/27vs WSH

6/3@ NYY

6/8vs NYY

6/17@ MIL

6/22@ CWS

6/28vs SEA

7/3vs CWS

7/9@ MIN

7/18vs PIT

Dashed line = line 10.5 · green = over · red = under · viewing L10

Supporting Stats

Real per-game MLB StatsAPI boxscore fields — tap a stat to feature it · matching active filters

5.3

4.7

05-2205-2706-0306-0806-1706-2206-2807-0307-0907-18

Line

App

Time

10.5

O +100

7/23, 11:32 AM

10.5

O -137

7/23, 11:33 AM

Strikeouts 10.5 · DFS Odds

Best Over+100

Best Under—

Books quoting

By App

10.5 O +1007/23, 11:32 AM

10.5 O -1377/23, 11:33 AM

Regular Season Averages

Pitch Arsenal vs. Tonight's Lineup

Real Statcast usage/velo for Gavin Williams's own arsenal, next to MIN's real weighted-average line against each exact pitch type.

PitchUsage / VeloOpp Lineup

Sweeper

5 real batters w/ sample

26.2%87.4 mph

0.244

4-Seam Fastball

5 real batters w/ sample

23.6%97 mph

0.253

Curveball

5 real batters w/ sample

22.4%82.7 mph

0.218

Sinker

5 real batters w/ sample

19.3%96.7 mph

0.264

Cutter

5 real batters w/ sample

8.5%92.3 mph

0.244

Opp Lineup = real PA-weighted average BA of tonight's real confirmed opposing batters against this exact real pitch type (Baseball Savant pitch-arsenal leaderboard) — greener = tougher real matchup for that lineup on that pitch, redder = the real lineup hits it well. Only real pitch types with at least one real batter sample are shown.

C-GRADE

B72PARK-P

Avoid — the real WIS breakdown leans against this sideBelow Avg🚫Avoid· 56/100SWIS

Why this grade

SWIS (Strikeout Wizard Intelligence Score) grades this Strikeouts Over 10.5 pick at 56/100 — 🚫 Avoid. Across the real full season sample, Gavin has cleared the line in 30% of the real games in that window. Strongest real components: Handedness Matchup vs Lineup (14.5/15), Pitcher Stuff & Whiff Score (27.9/30), Umpire / Park K Factor (3.1/5). Weakest real components: Arsenal Matchup vs Lineup (1.9/5), Recent Form Score (3.3/12).

Pick ConfidenceWeak hit rate, questionable value

FDCBA+

Deterministic grade from real hit rates, streaks, odds & H2H — updates instantly with your filters

Pitch Arsenal vs. Tonight's Lineup

Real Statcast usage/velo for Gavin Williams's own arsenal, next to MIN's real weighted-average line against each exact pitch type.

PitchUsage / VeloOpp Lineup

Sweeper

5 real batters w/ sample

26.2%87.4 mph

0.244

4-Seam Fastball

5 real batters w/ sample

23.6%97 mph

0.253

Curveball

5 real batters w/ sample

22.4%82.7 mph

0.218

Sinker

5 real batters w/ sample

19.3%96.7 mph

0.264

Cutter

5 real batters w/ sample

8.5%92.3 mph

0.244

Weather Impact

Progressive Field

Temperature

74°F

Wind

6 mph

Humidity

51%

Partly Cloudy, 74°F — no notable real weather impact expected.

Real forecast for this venue's real coordinates at the real scheduled first pitch (Open-Meteo) — not a book-guaranteed in-game reading.

Averages vs Righty & Lefty

Gavin Williams's real 2026 season splits facing each pitcher hand.

vs LHB

BAA.206

OPS.653

K/911.20

WHIP1.03

20 G real sample

vs RHB

BAA.261

OPS.791

K/910.89

WHIP1.40

20 G real sample

Times Through the Order

Gavin Williams's 2026results by how many times they've faced the lineup in a game (not innings). Savant Statcast · PA under 50 flagged.

Split	BA	OBP	SLG	OPS	BB%	K%	PA
1st	.239	.324	.434	.758	10%	31.7%	180
2nd	.224	.289	.382	.671	7.7%	32.6%	181
3rd	.195	.228	.415	.643	4.1%	23.6%	123
4th+small sample	1.000	1.000	1.000	2.000	0%	0%	2

1st → 3rd TTO penalty

OPS -.115 · BA -.044 · K% -8.1%

This pitcher holds or improves the third time through (sample permitting). Based on 180 / 123 PA.

By pitch count

Fatigue complement — MLB StatsAPI pitch-count buckets (combined to 1–30 / 31–60 / 61–75 / 76+).

Split	BA	OBP	SLG	OPS	BB%	K%	PA
1–30	.229	.308	.435	.743	8.9%	32.2%	146
31–60	.209	.279	.328	.607	8.8%	34.5%	148
61–75	.280	.341	.560	.901	7.2%	30.1%	83
76+	.198	.234	.377	.612	4.5%	19.8%	111

Matchup Analyzer

Simple version: each row lines up the real starting pitcher against the real opposing batter on one stat. The number in the circle is that player's real 2026 rank out of 99 compared to every other MLB player — so 70means they're better than about 70% of the league at that stat. Hover the next to any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Green = elite (60+ percentile) Grey = average (36-59) Red = weak (35 or below)

Gavin Williams

CLE · SP · RHP

REAL MATCHUP · 2026C-

Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians

Brooks Lee

MIN · 3B · LHB

Real career H2H · Lee vs Williams5 real games · 13 PA

.000

AVG

Percentile rankings

Pitcher Hand Split

Batter Hand Split

Williams

Stat

Lee

.226

Batting average

.294

7.6%

BB%

Walk rate

11.7%

29.9%

Strikeout rate

17.2%

—

BABIP

Luck on balls in play

.341

—

xwOBA

Overall offensive quality (season)

—

Chase%

Swings at pitches outside the zone (season)

—

Whiff%

Swings that miss entirely (season)

—

Hard-Hit%

Balls hit 95+ mph (season)

—

MLB StatsAPI + Baseball Savant · 2026 season · true league percentile rank

Weather Impact

Progressive Field

Temperature

74°F

Wind

6 mph

Humidity

51%

Partly Cloudy, 74°F — no notable real weather impact expected.

Real forecast for this venue's real coordinates at the real scheduled first pitch (Open-Meteo) — not a book-guaranteed in-game reading.

Line

App

Time

10.5

O +100

7/23, 11:32 AM

10.5

O -137

7/23, 11:33 AM

Strikeouts 10.5 · DFS Odds

Best Over+100

Best Under—

Books quoting

By App

10.5 O +1007/23, 11:32 AM

10.5 O -1377/23, 11:33 AM