SD@ATLThu @ 12:16 PM
MIN@CLEThu @ 1:11 PM
TB@TORThu @ 3:08 PM
AZ@STLThu @ 5:16 PM
KC@DETThu @ 6:41 PM
SD@ATLThu @ 12:16 PM
MIN@CLEThu @ 1:11 PM
TB@TORThu @ 3:08 PM
AZ@STLThu @ 5:16 PM
KC@DETThu @ 6:41 PM

Players

Jac Caglianone

Jac Caglianone

LHP / LHB · Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers

Thu @ 6:41 PM

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Jac Caglianone

Jac Caglianone

RFLHP / LHBHits 2.5F

Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers · Thu @ 6:41 PM

F🚫
Avoid
PrizePicksO +100
KC logoKC
ProbO 3%U 97%

Best O +100

Best U

1 books ·PrizePicks

Real Hits Line · The Odds API

2.5
O +100U

Real DFS line · Season avg 1, 30 GP ·PrizePicks

Game Log Hits

MLB StatsAPI · filtered 30/30 games
Pick GradeF
Line 2.5
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
0
0
7/8@ NYM
7/9@ NYM
7/10@ BAL
7/11@ BAL
7/12@ BAL
7/17vs SD
7/18vs SD
7/19vs SD
7/20vs SF
7/21vs SF

Dashed line = line 2.5 · green = over · red = under · viewing L10

Supporting Stats

Real per-game MLB StatsAPI boxscore fields — tap a stat to feature it · matching active filters

4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
2
07-0807-0907-1007-1107-1207-1707-1807-1907-2007-21
Line
App
Time
2.5
O +100PrizePicks
7/23, 11:33 AM

Hits 2.5 · DFS Odds

Best Over+100
Best Under
Books quoting
PrizePicks

By App

PrizePicks2.5 O +1007/23, 11:33 AM

Regular Season Averages

FGRADE
A-86PARK-H
Avoid — the real WIS breakdown leans against this sideAvoid🚫Avoid· 29/100WIS

Why this grade

WIS (Wizard Intelligence Score) grades this Hits Over 2.5 pick at 29/100 — 🚫 Avoid. Across the real full season sample, Jac has cleared the line in 0% of the real games in that window. Strongest real components: Pitch Matchup Score (18/18), Handedness Matchup (16.2/22), Weather Score (7.3/10). Weakest real components: Pitcher Weakness Score (4.3/20), Recent Form Score (0.1/10).

Pick ConfidenceDo not play this prop
FDCBA+
Deterministic grade from real hit rates, streaks, odds & H2H — updates instantly with your filters

This Batter vs. Pitch Type

Jac Caglianone's own real 2026 rates against each real pitch type he has a qualifying Statcast sample against.

PitchBA / wOBAWhiff%

4-Seam Fastball

Opp SP throws 37.4% · 96.3 mph

0.259/0.377
30.5%

Sinker

Opp SP throws 9.6% · 95.7 mph

0.205/0.253
20.9%

Slider

Opp SP throws 18% · 86.5 mph

0.349/0.449
46.3%

BA/wOBA and Whiff% are this batter's own real 2026 per-pitch-type Statcast splits (Baseball Savant) — greener Whiff% = better real contact skill against that specific pitch, redder = a real weakness. Pitch types with no real qualifying sample yet for this batter are omitted rather than shown as zero.

Averages vs Righty & Lefty

Jac Caglianone's real 2026 season splits against each pitcher hand.

vs LHP

AVG.248
OPS.712
HR5
K%31.4%

52 G real sample

vs RHP

AVG.263
OPS.807
HR11
K%27.5%

89 G real sample

Matchup Analyzer

Simple version: each row lines up the real starting pitcher against the real opposing batter on one stat. The number in the circle is that player's real 2026 rank out of 99 compared to every other MLB player — so 70means they're better than about 70% of the league at that stat. Hover the next to any stat for a plain-English explanation.
Green = elite (60+ percentile) Grey = average (36-59) Red = weak (35 or below)
Troy Melton
Troy Melton
DET · P · RHP
REAL MATCHUP · 2026F
Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers
Jac Caglianone
KC · · LHB
Jac Caglianone
No real head-to-head at-bats yet between Caglianone and Melton.
Percentile rankings
Pitcher Hand Split
Batter Hand Split
Melton
Stat
Caglianone
.170
93

BA

Batting average

71
.258
7.1%
74

BB%

Walk rate

36
6.8%
23.6%
64

K%

Strikeout rate

24
28.6%

BABIP

Luck on balls in play

80
.327
87

xwOBA

Overall offensive quality (season)

81
63

Chase%

Swings at pitches outside the zone (season)

14
59

Whiff%

Swings that miss entirely (season)

20
67

Hard-Hit%

Balls hit 95+ mph (season)

98

MLB StatsAPI + Baseball Savant · 2026 season · true league percentile rank

Weather Impact

Comerica Park

Temperature

77°F

Wind

10 mph

Humidity

39%

Breezy at 10 mph.

Real forecast for this venue's real coordinates at the real scheduled first pitch (Open-Meteo) — not a book-guaranteed in-game reading.