SD@ATLThu @ 12:16 PM•
MIN@CLEThu @ 1:11 PM•
TB@TORThu @ 3:08 PM•
AZ@STLThu @ 5:16 PM•
KC@DETThu @ 6:41 PM•
SD@ATLThu @ 12:16 PM•
MIN@CLEThu @ 1:11 PM•
TB@TORThu @ 3:08 PM•
AZ@STLThu @ 5:16 PM•
KC@DETThu @ 6:41 PM•

Players

Nathan Lukes

Nathan Lukes

RHP / LHB · Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays

Thu @ 3:08 PM

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Nathan Lukes

Nathan Lukes

RFRHP / LHBHits+Runs+RBIs 4.5F

Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays · Thu @ 3:08 PM

F🚫
Avoid
PrizePicksO +100DraftKings Pick6O -137
TOR logoTOR
ProbO 7%U 93%

Best O +100

Best U —

2 books ·PrizePicksDraftKings Pick6

Real Hits+Runs+RBIs Line · The Odds API

4.5
O +100U —

Real DFS line · Season avg 1.5, 30 GP ·PrizePicksDraftKings Pick6

Game Log — Hits+Runs+RBIs

MLB StatsAPI · filtered 30/30 games
Pick GradeF
Line 4.5
1
1 HITS
4
2 HITS
2 RUNS
0
2
1 HITS
1 RUNS
3
1 HITS
1 RUNS
1 RBIS
0
2
2 HITS
2
2 HITS
1
1 HITS
1
1 RUNS
7/7@ SF
7/8@ SF
7/10@ SD
7/11@ SD
7/12@ SD
7/18vs CWS
7/19vs CWS
7/20vs TB
7/21vs TB
7/22vs TB

Dashed line = line 4.5 · green = over · red = under · viewing L10

Supporting Stats

Real per-game MLB StatsAPI boxscore fields — tap a stat to feature it · matching active filters

5
5
1
5
3
4
4
4
4
4
07-0707-0807-1007-1107-1207-1807-1907-2007-2107-22
Line
App
Time
4.5
O +100PrizePicks
7/23, 11:33 AM
4.5
O -137DraftKings Pick6
7/23, 11:33 AM

Hits+Runs+RBIs 4.5 · DFS Odds

Best Over+100
Best Under—
Books quoting
PrizePicksDraftKings Pick6

By App

PrizePicks4.5 O +1007/23, 11:33 AM
DraftKings Pick64.5 O -1377/23, 11:33 AM

Regular Season Averages

FGRADE
A-84PARK-H
Avoid — the real WIS breakdown leans against this sideAvoid🚫Avoid· 15/100WIS

Why this grade

WIS (Wizard Intelligence Score) grades this Hits+Runs+RBIs Over 4.5 pick at 15/100 — 🚫 Avoid. Across the real full season sample, Nathan has cleared the line in 0% of the real games in that window. Strongest real components: Weather Score (7.1/10), Matchup History (BvP) (5.8/10), Pitcher Weakness Score (10/20). Weakest real components: Handedness Matchup (0.9/22), Recent Form Score (0.1/10).

Pick ConfidenceDo not play this prop
FDCBA+
Deterministic grade from real hit rates, streaks, odds & H2H — updates instantly with your filters

This Batter vs. Pitch Type

Nathan Lukes's own real 2026 rates against each real pitch type he has a qualifying Statcast sample against.

PitchBA / wOBAWhiff%

4-Seam Fastball

Opp SP throws 26% · 91.6 mph

0.309/0.344
18.9%

Sinker

Opp SP throws 13.1% · 90.3 mph

0.209/0.260
10.7%

BA/wOBA and Whiff% are this batter's own real 2026 per-pitch-type Statcast splits (Baseball Savant) — greener Whiff% = better real contact skill against that specific pitch, redder = a real weakness. Pitch types with no real qualifying sample yet for this batter are omitted rather than shown as zero.

Averages vs Righty & Lefty

Nathan Lukes's real 2026 season splits against each pitcher hand.

vs LHP

AVG.094
OPS.310
HR0
K%27%

23 G real sample

vs RHP

AVG.319
OPS.805
HR5
K%11.9%

64 G real sample

Matchup Analyzer

Simple version: each row lines up the real starting pitcher against the real opposing batter on one stat. The number in the circle is that player's real 2026 rank out of 99 compared to every other MLB player — so 70means they're better than about 70% of the league at that stat. Hover the next to any stat for a plain-English explanation.
Green = elite (60+ percentile) Grey = average (36-59) Red = weak (35 or below)
Ian Seymour
Ian Seymour
TB · P · LHP
REAL MATCHUP · 2026F
Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays
Nathan Lukes
TOR · — · LHB
Nathan Lukes
No real head-to-head at-bats yet between Lukes and Seymour.
Percentile rankings
Pitcher Hand Split
Batter Hand Split
Seymour
Stat
Lukes
.215
74

BA

Batting average

90
.286
9.2%
51

BB%

Walk rate

22
5.4%
27.9%
85

K%

Strikeout rate

88
14.2%
—

BABIP

Luck on balls in play

75
.318
—
66

xwOBA

Overall offensive quality (season)

15
—
—
76

Chase%

Swings at pitches outside the zone (season)

21
—
—
79

Whiff%

Swings that miss entirely (season)

85
—
—
58

Hard-Hit%

Balls hit 95+ mph (season)

8
—

MLB StatsAPI + Baseball Savant · 2026 season · true league percentile rank

Weather Impact

Rogers Centre

Temperature

69°F

Wind

11 mph

Humidity

67%

Retractable roof (open/closed status isn't available from a free source, so treat this as the outdoor forecast only). Breezy at 11 mph.

Real forecast for this venue's real coordinates at the real scheduled first pitch (Open-Meteo) — not a book-guaranteed in-game reading.