Trent Alexander-Arnold Props — Lines, Grades & Hit Rates

Real Madrid vs Sevilla›Sun, Oct 18, 3:00 PM

OVER 0.5›Assists

FORM AGAINST THE OVER

Blended hit rate 17.9% against the book's own implied 33.1% — an edge of -15.2pp.

DEF

/ 19

3

soft defense · 8G · 2026-27

SHOTS ALLOWED

/ 19

17

stingy defense · 8G · 2026-27

DEF

/ 19

3

soft defense · 8G · 2026-27

SHOTS ALLOWED

/ 19

17

stingy defense · 8G · 2026-27

LA LIGA

Assists

Last 10 games

1/10 OVER

?

0.5

4/21
10/18

Last 10 games

1/10 OVER

?

0.5

4/21
10/18

FOUR SIGNALS

1 of 3 signals greenUnder: 1 of 3

Usage★★★★★★★

65 min last 3 vs 60 season (+8%)

Opponent rank★★★★★★

SEV ranks 17th of 21 (allowed in this stat, 1 = stingiest) — GREAT matchup

Over 0.5 in 2 of 10 games vs ranks 14-21 (GREAT matchups)

Skill / process★★★★

projects 0.1 (0.00 per min × 44 min) vs 0.5

Over 0.5 in 6 of 34 logged games

STREAK · missed the last one · 1 of last 5 (15% of each signal)

Weather: not available abroad

Situation: no game total, spread, rest or venue reading, and no home/away split

Display only — the four signals do not change the grade.

Gamelog

TINT = CLEARED THE LINE

DATE

OPP

MIN

SHOTS

SOT

G

A

KP

xG

TCH

DRB

2026-09-08

INT

—

1

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-09-04

BET

—

0

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-08-30

MCF

—

2

1

0

1

—

—

—

—

2026-08-22

ESP

—

0

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-05-17

SEV

—

0

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-05-14

OVI

—

2

1

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-05-10

BAR

—

0

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-05-03

ESP

—

0

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-04-24

BET

—

0

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-04-21

ALA

—

2

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

SOCCER · 10 GAMES

Advanced averages

SPLIT

W-D-L

SHOTS

SOT

All

—

0.5

0.1

—

Home

—

1.0

0.2

—

Away

—

0.2

0.0

—

vs top 6

—

full 90

—

sub

—

H2H

—

0.0

—