Gavin Williams
PRHP / LHBHits Allowed 5.5C-Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians · Thu @ 1:11 PM
Opp K Rank: 12th(21.6% K)
O +100
O -137
CLEBest O +100
Best U —
2 books ·
Game Log — Hits Allowed
MLB StatsAPI · filtered 20/20 gamesDashed line = line 5.5 · green = over · red = under · viewing L10
Supporting Stats
Real per-game MLB StatsAPI boxscore fields — tap a stat to feature it · matching active filters
Hits Allowed 5.5 · DFS Odds
By App
5.5 O +1007/23, 11:32 AM5.5 O -1377/23, 11:33 AMRegular Season Averages
Pitch Arsenal vs. Tonight's Lineup
Real Statcast usage/velo for Gavin Williams's own arsenal, next to MIN's real weighted-average line against each exact pitch type.
Sweeper
9 real batters w/ sample
4-Seam Fastball
9 real batters w/ sample
Curveball
9 real batters w/ sample
Sinker
9 real batters w/ sample
Cutter
9 real batters w/ sample
Opp Lineup = real PA-weighted average BA of tonight's real confirmed opposing batters against this exact real pitch type (Baseball Savant pitch-arsenal leaderboard) — greener = tougher real matchup for that lineup on that pitch, redder = the real lineup hits it well. Only real pitch types with at least one real batter sample are shown.
Why this grade
HAWIS (Hits Allowed Wizard Intelligence Score) grades this Hits Allowed Over 5.5 pick at 52/100 — 🚫 Avoid. Across the real full season sample, Gavin has cleared the line in 30% of the real games in that window. Strongest real components: Pitcher Hittability / Contact Profile (18.8/25), Opponent Lineup Contact Score (9.4/15), Workload & Opportunity Score (5.9/10). Weakest real components: Home/Road Split Score (3.7/10), Recent Opposing Pitchers vs Same Lineup (5.5/15).
Pitch Arsenal vs. Tonight's Lineup
Real Statcast usage/velo for Gavin Williams's own arsenal, next to MIN's real weighted-average line against each exact pitch type.
Sweeper
9 real batters w/ sample
4-Seam Fastball
9 real batters w/ sample
Curveball
9 real batters w/ sample
Sinker
9 real batters w/ sample
Cutter
9 real batters w/ sample
Opp Lineup = real PA-weighted average BA of tonight's real confirmed opposing batters against this exact real pitch type (Baseball Savant pitch-arsenal leaderboard) — greener = tougher real matchup for that lineup on that pitch, redder = the real lineup hits it well. Only real pitch types with at least one real batter sample are shown.
Weather Impact
Progressive FieldTemperature
74°F
Wind
6 mph
Humidity
51%
Partly Cloudy, 74°F — no notable real weather impact expected.
Real forecast for this venue's real coordinates at the real scheduled first pitch (Open-Meteo) — not a book-guaranteed in-game reading.
Averages vs Righty & Lefty
Gavin Williams's real 2026 season splits facing each pitcher hand.
vs LHB
20 G real sample
vs RHB
20 G real sample
Times Through the Order
Gavin Williams's 2026results by how many times they've faced the lineup in a game (not innings). Savant Statcast · PA under 50 flagged.
| Split | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS | BB% | K% | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | .239 | .324 | .434 | .758 | 10% | 31.7% | 180 |
| 2nd | .224 | .289 | .382 | .671 | 7.7% | 32.6% | 181 |
| 3rd | .195 | .228 | .415 | .643 | 4.1% | 23.6% | 123 |
| 4th+small sample | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 2.000 | 0% | 0% | 2 |
1st → 3rd TTO penalty
OPS -.115 · BA -.044 · K% -8.1%
This pitcher holds or improves the third time through (sample permitting). Based on 180 / 123 PA.
By pitch count
Fatigue complement — MLB StatsAPI pitch-count buckets (combined to 1–30 / 31–60 / 61–75 / 76+).
| Split | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS | BB% | K% | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–30 | .229 | .308 | .435 | .743 | 8.9% | 32.2% | 146 |
| 31–60 | .209 | .279 | .328 | .607 | 8.8% | 34.5% | 148 |
| 61–75 | .280 | .341 | .560 | .901 | 7.2% | 30.1% | 83 |
| 76+ | .198 | .234 | .377 | .612 | 4.5% | 19.8% | 111 |
Matchup Analyzer
BA
Batting average
BB%
Walk rate
K%
Strikeout rate
BABIP
Luck on balls in play
xwOBA
Overall offensive quality (season)
Chase%
Swings at pitches outside the zone (season)
Whiff%
Swings that miss entirely (season)
Hard-Hit%
Balls hit 95+ mph (season)
MLB StatsAPI + Baseball Savant · 2026 season · true league percentile rank
Weather Impact
Progressive FieldTemperature
74°F
Wind
6 mph
Humidity
51%
Partly Cloudy, 74°F — no notable real weather impact expected.
Real forecast for this venue's real coordinates at the real scheduled first pitch (Open-Meteo) — not a book-guaranteed in-game reading.
Hits Allowed 5.5 · DFS Odds
By App
5.5 O +1007/23, 11:32 AM5.5 O -1377/23, 11:33 AM