SD@ATLThu @ 12:16 PM•
MIN@CLEThu @ 1:11 PM•
TB@TORThu @ 3:08 PM•
AZ@STLThu @ 5:16 PM•
KC@DETThu @ 6:41 PM•
SD@ATLThu @ 12:16 PM•
MIN@CLEThu @ 1:11 PM•
TB@TORThu @ 3:08 PM•
AZ@STLThu @ 5:16 PM•
KC@DETThu @ 6:41 PM•

Players

Ian Seymour

Ian Seymour

LHP / LHB · Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays

Thu @ 3:08 PM

6 prop types

Earned Runs5Hits Allowed7Outs3Pitcher Fantasy Score3Pitcher Walks3Strikeouts7
Ian Seymour

Ian Seymour

PLHP / LHBEarned Runs 2.5D-

Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays · Thu @ 3:08 PM

Opp K Rank: 2nd(19.5% K)

D-🚫
Very Weak
PrizePicksO +100U —BetrO +100U —
TB logoTB
ProbO 20%U 80%

Best O +100

Best U —

2 books ·PrizePicksBetr

Real Earned Runs Line · The Odds API

2.5
O +100U —

Real DFS line · Season avg 1, 30 GP ·PrizePicksBetr

Real Alt Ladder0.51.52.53.56.5

Game Log — Earned Runs

MLB StatsAPI · filtered 30/30 games
Pick GradeD-
Line 2.5
1
3
1
2
3
0
1
3
5
3
5/30vs LAA
6/2vs DET
6/8vs BOS
6/14@ LAA
6/20vs WSH
6/25vs KC
7/2@ KC
7/7vs NYY
7/12vs SEA
7/18@ BOS

Dashed line = line 2.5 · green = over · red = under · viewing L10

Supporting Stats

Real per-game MLB StatsAPI boxscore fields — tap a stat to feature it · matching active filters

1
2
4
3.3
5
6.7
6
5.3
3.3
3
05-3006-0206-0806-1406-2006-2507-0207-0707-1207-18
Line
App
Time
2.5
U—
PrizePicksBetr

Best available DFS line from The Odds API cache

Earned Runs 2.5 · DFS Odds

Best Over+100
Best Under—
Books quoting
PrizePicksBetr

Regular Season Averages

D-GRADE
B-67PARK-P
Avoid — the real WIS breakdown leans against this sideVery Weak🚫Avoid· 40/100ERWIS

Why this grade

ERWIS (Earned Run Wizard Intelligence Score) grades this Earned Runs Over 2.5 pick at 40/100 — 🚫 Avoid. Across the real full season sample, Ian has cleared the line in 50% of the real games in that window. Strongest real components: Handedness Matchup vs Lineup (9/15), Weather/Park HR Factor (11.8/20), Pitch Arsenal Vulnerability Score (2.5/5). Weakest real components: Opponent Lineup Power Score (5.6/22), Command/Traffic Score (0/15).

Pick ConfidenceStrong under signal
FDCBA+
Deterministic grade from real hit rates, streaks, odds & H2H — updates instantly with your filters

Pitch Arsenal vs. Tonight's Lineup

Real Statcast usage/velo for Ian Seymour's own arsenal, next to TOR's real weighted-average line against each exact pitch type.

PitchUsage / VeloOpp Lineup

Changeup

9 real batters w/ sample

31%83.6 mph
0.242

4-Seam Fastball

9 real batters w/ sample

26%91.6 mph
0.275

Sweeper

9 real batters w/ sample

24.5%81.4 mph
0.242

Sinker

9 real batters w/ sample

13.1%90.3 mph
0.298

Slider

9 real batters w/ sample

3.3%82.7 mph
0.231

Curveball

9 real batters w/ sample

1.2%72.8 mph
0.242

Cutter

9 real batters w/ sample

1%87.1 mph
0.242

Opp Lineup = real PA-weighted average BA of tonight's real confirmed opposing batters against this exact real pitch type (Baseball Savant pitch-arsenal leaderboard) — greener = tougher real matchup for that lineup on that pitch, redder = the real lineup hits it well. Only real pitch types with at least one real batter sample are shown.

Averages vs Righty & Lefty

Ian Seymour's real 2026 season splits facing each pitcher hand.

vs LHB

BAA.257
OPS.889
K/911.57
WHIP1.21

31 G real sample

vs RHB

BAA.185
OPS.590
K/99.86
WHIP1.14

33 G real sample

Times Through the Order

Ian Seymour's 2026results by how many times they've faced the lineup in a game (not innings). Savant Statcast · PA under 50 flagged.

SplitBAOBPSLGOPSBB%K%PA
1st.221.313.424.73810.8%28.6%203
2nd.203.266.441.7066.3%23.4%64
3rdsmall sample.188.188.250.4380%37.5%16
4th+——————0

1st → 3rd TTO penalty

OPS -.300 · BA -.033 · K% +8.9%

This pitcher holds or improves the third time through (sample permitting). Based on 203 / 16 PA.

By pitch count

Fatigue complement — MLB StatsAPI pitch-count buckets (combined to 1–30 / 31–60 / 61–75 / 76+).

SplitBAOBPSLGOPSBB%K%PA
1–30.228.320.416.73611.3%26.6%177
31–60.188.268.469.7367%28.2%71
61–75small sample.250.286.450.7364.8%23.8%21
76+small sample.133.133.133.2670%46.7%15

Matchup Analyzer

Simple version: each row lines up the real starting pitcher against the real opposing batter on one stat. The number in the circle is that player's real 2026 rank out of 99 compared to every other MLB player — so 70means they're better than about 70% of the league at that stat. Hover the next to any stat for a plain-English explanation.
Green = elite (60+ percentile) Grey = average (36-59) Red = weak (35 or below)
Ian Seymour
Ian Seymour
TB · SP · LHP
REAL MATCHUP · 2026D-
Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays
PredictedErnie Clement
TOR · 2B · RHB
Ernie Clement
Real career H2H · Clement vs Seymour5 real games · 8 PA
8
AB
4
H
0
HR
0
BB
2
K
.500
AVG
Percentile rankings
Pitcher Hand Split
Batter Hand Split
Seymour
Stat
Clement
.215
74

BA

Batting average

94
.297
9.2%
51

BB%

Walk rate

10
3.5%
27.9%
85

K%

Strikeout rate

97
9.8%
—

BABIP

Luck on balls in play

70
.312
—
66

xwOBA

Overall offensive quality (season)

6
—
—
76

Chase%

Swings at pitches outside the zone (season)

2
—
—
79

Whiff%

Swings that miss entirely (season)

89
—
—
58

Hard-Hit%

Balls hit 95+ mph (season)

2
—

MLB StatsAPI + Baseball Savant · 2026 season · true league percentile rank

Weather Impact

Rogers Centre

Temperature

69°F

Wind

11 mph

Humidity

67%

Retractable roof (open/closed status isn't available from a free source, so treat this as the outdoor forecast only). Breezy at 11 mph.

Real forecast for this venue's real coordinates at the real scheduled first pitch (Open-Meteo) — not a book-guaranteed in-game reading.