SD@ATLThu @ 12:16 PM•
MIN@CLEThu @ 1:11 PM•
TB@TORThu @ 3:08 PM•
AZ@STLThu @ 5:16 PM•
KC@DETThu @ 6:41 PM•
SD@ATLThu @ 12:16 PM•
MIN@CLEThu @ 1:11 PM•
TB@TORThu @ 3:08 PM•
AZ@STLThu @ 5:16 PM•
KC@DETThu @ 6:41 PM•

Players

Nathan Church

Nathan Church

LHP / LHB · Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals

Thu @ 5:16 PM

13 prop types

Batter Strikeouts2Doubles1Fantasy Score3Hits3Hits+Runs+RBIs5Home Runs1RBIs2Runs Scored2Singles2Stolen Bases1Total Bases4Triples1Walks1
Nathan Church

Nathan Church

CFLHP / LHBHome Runs 0.5F

Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals · Thu @ 5:16 PM

F🚫
Avoid
DabbleO +1373U -1250DraftKings Pick6O -137UnderdogO +828
STL logoSTL
ProbO 10%U 90%

Best O +1393

Best U -1250

3 books ·DabbleDraftKings Pick6Underdog

Real Home Runs Line · The Odds API

0.5
O +1393U -1250

Real DFS line · Season avg 0.1, 30 GP ·DabbleDraftKings Pick6Underdog

Game Log — Home Runs

MLB StatsAPI · filtered 30/30 games
Pick GradeF
Line 0.5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
7/9vs MIL
7/10vs ATL
7/11vs ATL
7/12vs ATL
7/17@ AZ
7/18@ AZ
7/19@ AZ
7/20@ LAA
7/21@ LAA
7/22@ LAA

Dashed line = line 0.5 · green = over · red = under · viewing L10

Supporting Stats

Real per-game MLB StatsAPI boxscore fields — tap a stat to feature it · matching active filters

4
0
3
2
4
4
3
3
2
1
07-0907-1007-1107-1207-1707-1807-1907-2007-2107-22
Line
App
Time
0.5
O +1373U -1250Dabble
7/23, 11:33 AM
0.5
O -137DraftKings Pick6
7/23, 11:33 AM
0.5
O +828Underdog
7/23, 11:33 AM

Home Runs 0.5 · DFS Odds

Best Over+1393
Best Under-1250
Books quoting
DabbleDraftKings Pick6Underdog

By App

Dabble0.5 U -12507/23, 11:33 AM
DraftKings Pick60.5 O -1377/23, 11:33 AM
Underdog0.5 O +8287/23, 11:33 AM

Regular Season Averages

FGRADE
B-70PARK-H
Avoid — the real WIS breakdown leans against this sideAvoid🚫Avoid· 24/100HRWIS

Why this grade

HRWIS (Home Run Wizard Intelligence Score) grades this Home Runs Over 0.5 pick at 24/100 — 🚫 Avoid. Across the real full season sample, Nathan has cleared the line in 0% of the real games in that window. Strongest real components: Pitcher HR Vulnerability (15.5/20), Weather/Park Factor (13.2/20), Pitch Mix Matchup Score (10/20). Weakest real components: Vegas/Line Value (0.5/5), Recent Form / Hot Streak Score (0.1/10).

Pick ConfidenceDo not play this prop
FDCBA+
Deterministic grade from real hit rates, streaks, odds & H2H — updates instantly with your filters

This Batter vs. Pitch Type

Nathan Church's own real 2026 rates against each real pitch type he has a qualifying Statcast sample against.

PitchBA / wOBAWhiff%

4-Seam Fastball

Opp SP throws 23.4% · 93.3 mph

0.242/0.284
20.8%

Changeup

Opp SP throws 11.8% · 87 mph

0.212/0.239
24.8%

BA/wOBA and Whiff% are this batter's own real 2026 per-pitch-type Statcast splits (Baseball Savant) — greener Whiff% = better real contact skill against that specific pitch, redder = a real weakness. Pitch types with no real qualifying sample yet for this batter are omitted rather than shown as zero.

Averages vs Righty & Lefty

Nathan Church's real 2026 season splits against each pitcher hand.

vs LHP

AVG.250
OPS.658
HR2
K%20%

36 G real sample

vs RHP

AVG.222
OPS.629
HR6
K%20.9%

75 G real sample

Matchup Analyzer

Simple version: each row lines up the real starting pitcher against the real opposing batter on one stat. The number in the circle is that player's real 2026 rank out of 99 compared to every other MLB player — so 70means they're better than about 70% of the league at that stat. Hover the next to any stat for a plain-English explanation.
Green = elite (60+ percentile) Grey = average (36-59) Red = weak (35 or below)
Brandon Pfaadt
Brandon Pfaadt
AZ · P · RHP
REAL MATCHUP · 2026F
Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals
Nathan Church
STL · — · LHB
Nathan Church
Real career H2H · Church vs Pfaadt1 real games · 2 PA
2
AB
0
H
0
HR
0
BB
1
K
.000
AVG
Percentile rankings
Pitcher Hand Split
Batter Hand Split
Pfaadt
Stat
Church
.258
42

BA

Batting average

40
.228
7.1%
73

BB%

Walk rate

18
4.8%
17.3%
29

K%

Strikeout rate

62
20.7%
—

BABIP

Luck on balls in play

30
.260
—
45

xwOBA

Overall offensive quality (season)

9
—
—
60

Chase%

Swings at pitches outside the zone (season)

1
—
—
15

Whiff%

Swings that miss entirely (season)

60
—
—
59

Hard-Hit%

Balls hit 95+ mph (season)

14
—

MLB StatsAPI + Baseball Savant · 2026 season · true league percentile rank

Weather Impact

Busch Stadium

Temperature

82°F

Wind

6 mph

Humidity

40%

Partly Cloudy, 82°F — no notable real weather impact expected.

Real forecast for this venue's real coordinates at the real scheduled first pitch (Open-Meteo) — not a book-guaranteed in-game reading.