SD@ATLThu @ 12:16 PM•
MIN@CLEThu @ 1:11 PM•
TB@TORThu @ 3:08 PM•
AZ@STLThu @ 5:16 PM•
KC@DETThu @ 6:41 PM•
SD@ATLThu @ 12:16 PM•
MIN@CLEThu @ 1:11 PM•
TB@TORThu @ 3:08 PM•
AZ@STLThu @ 5:16 PM•
KC@DETThu @ 6:41 PM•

Players

Nathan Lukes

Nathan Lukes

RHP / LHB · Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays

Thu @ 3:08 PM

11 prop types

Batter Strikeouts2Doubles1Hits3Hits+Runs+RBIs5Home Runs1RBIs2Runs Scored2Singles2Total Bases5Triples1Walks1
Nathan Lukes

Nathan Lukes

RFRHP / LHBHome Runs 0.5F

Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays · Thu @ 3:08 PM

F🚫
Avoid
UnderdogO +1005DabbleO +1616U -1429PrizePicksO +100
TOR logoTOR
ProbO 13%U 87%

Best O +1295

Best U -1250

4 books ·UnderdogDabblePrizePicksDraftKings Pick6

Real Home Runs Line · The Odds API

0.5
O +1295U -1250

Real DFS line · Season avg 0.1, 30 GP ·UnderdogDabblePrizePicksDraftKings Pick6

Game Log — Home Runs

MLB StatsAPI · filtered 30/30 games
Pick GradeF
Line 0.5
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
7/7@ SF
7/8@ SF
7/10@ SD
7/11@ SD
7/12@ SD
7/18vs CWS
7/19vs CWS
7/20vs TB
7/21vs TB
7/22vs TB

Dashed line = line 0.5 · green = over · red = under · viewing L10

Supporting Stats

Real per-game MLB StatsAPI boxscore fields — tap a stat to feature it · matching active filters

5
5
1
5
3
4
4
4
4
4
07-0707-0807-1007-1107-1207-1807-1907-2007-2107-22
Line
App
Time
0.5
O +1005Underdog
7/23, 11:33 AM
0.5
O +1616U -1429Dabble
7/23, 11:33 AM
0.5
O +100PrizePicks
7/23, 11:33 AM

Home Runs 0.5 · DFS Odds

Best Over+1295
Best Under-1250
Books quoting
UnderdogDabblePrizePicksDraftKings Pick6

By App

Underdog0.5 O +10057/23, 11:33 AM
Dabble0.5 U -14297/23, 11:33 AM
PrizePicks0.5 O +1007/23, 11:33 AM

Regular Season Averages

FGRADE
A-84PARK-H
Avoid — the real WIS breakdown leans against this sideAvoid🚫Avoid· 22/100HRWIS

Why this grade

HRWIS (Home Run Wizard Intelligence Score) grades this Home Runs Over 0.5 pick at 22/100 — 🚫 Avoid. Across the real full season sample, Nathan has cleared the line in 10% of the real games in that window. Strongest real components: Pitcher HR Vulnerability (18.3/20), Weather/Park Factor (14.2/20), Matchup History (BvP) (8.7/15). Weakest real components: Recent Form / Hot Streak Score (0.8/10), Batter Power Profile vs Handedness (1.2/35).

Pick ConfidenceDo not play this prop
FDCBA+
Deterministic grade from real hit rates, streaks, odds & H2H — updates instantly with your filters

This Batter vs. Pitch Type

Nathan Lukes's own real 2026 rates against each real pitch type he has a qualifying Statcast sample against.

PitchBA / wOBAWhiff%

4-Seam Fastball

Opp SP throws 26% · 91.6 mph

0.309/0.344
18.9%

Sinker

Opp SP throws 13.1% · 90.3 mph

0.209/0.260
10.7%

BA/wOBA and Whiff% are this batter's own real 2026 per-pitch-type Statcast splits (Baseball Savant) — greener Whiff% = better real contact skill against that specific pitch, redder = a real weakness. Pitch types with no real qualifying sample yet for this batter are omitted rather than shown as zero.

Averages vs Righty & Lefty

Nathan Lukes's real 2026 season splits against each pitcher hand.

vs LHP

AVG.094
OPS.310
HR0
K%27%

23 G real sample

vs RHP

AVG.319
OPS.805
HR5
K%11.9%

64 G real sample

Matchup Analyzer

Simple version: each row lines up the real starting pitcher against the real opposing batter on one stat. The number in the circle is that player's real 2026 rank out of 99 compared to every other MLB player — so 70means they're better than about 70% of the league at that stat. Hover the next to any stat for a plain-English explanation.
Green = elite (60+ percentile) Grey = average (36-59) Red = weak (35 or below)
Ian Seymour
Ian Seymour
TB · P · LHP
REAL MATCHUP · 2026F
Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays
Nathan Lukes
TOR · — · LHB
Nathan Lukes
No real head-to-head at-bats yet between Lukes and Seymour.
Percentile rankings
Pitcher Hand Split
Batter Hand Split
Seymour
Stat
Lukes
.215
74

BA

Batting average

90
.286
9.2%
51

BB%

Walk rate

22
5.4%
27.9%
85

K%

Strikeout rate

88
14.2%
—

BABIP

Luck on balls in play

75
.318
—
66

xwOBA

Overall offensive quality (season)

15
—
—
76

Chase%

Swings at pitches outside the zone (season)

21
—
—
79

Whiff%

Swings that miss entirely (season)

85
—
—
58

Hard-Hit%

Balls hit 95+ mph (season)

8
—

MLB StatsAPI + Baseball Savant · 2026 season · true league percentile rank

Weather Impact

Rogers Centre

Temperature

69°F

Wind

11 mph

Humidity

67%

Retractable roof (open/closed status isn't available from a free source, so treat this as the outdoor forecast only). Breezy at 11 mph.

Real forecast for this venue's real coordinates at the real scheduled first pitch (Open-Meteo) — not a book-guaranteed in-game reading.