SD@ATLThu @ 12:16 PM•
MIN@CLEThu @ 1:11 PM•
TB@TORThu @ 3:08 PM•
AZ@STLThu @ 5:16 PM•
KC@DETThu @ 6:41 PM•
SD@ATLThu @ 12:16 PM•
MIN@CLEThu @ 1:11 PM•
TB@TORThu @ 3:08 PM•
AZ@STLThu @ 5:16 PM•
KC@DETThu @ 6:41 PM•

Players

Randy Dobnak

Randy Dobnak

RHP / RHB · Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers

Thu @ 6:41 PM

6 prop types

Earned Runs5Hits Allowed6Outs3Pitcher Fantasy Score3Pitcher Walks4Strikeouts7
Randy Dobnak

Randy Dobnak

PRHP / RHBOuts 11.5C

Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers · Thu @ 6:41 PM

Opp K Rank: 23rd(23.3% K)

C🤏
Neutral
PrizePicksO -137
KC logoKC
ProbO 100%U 0%

Best O -137

Best U —

1 books ·PrizePicks

Real Outs Line · The Odds API

11.5
O -137U —

Real DFS line · Season avg 14, 3 GP ·PrizePicks

Real Alt Ladder11.514.520.5

Game Log — Outs

MLB StatsAPI · filtered 3/3 games
Pick GradeC
Line 11.5
12
17
13
7/2vs TB
7/8@ NYM
7/18vs SD

Dashed line = line 11.5 · green = over · red = under · viewing L10

Supporting Stats

Real per-game MLB StatsAPI boxscore fields — tap a stat to feature it · matching active filters

4
5.7
4.3
07-0207-0807-18
Line
App
Time
11.5
O -137PrizePicks
7/23, 11:33 AM

Outs 11.5 · DFS Odds

Best Over-137
Best Under—
Books quoting
PrizePicks

By App

PrizePicks11.5 O -1377/23, 11:33 AM

Regular Season Averages

CGRADE
B72PARK-P
Slight lean — the real WIS components are close to a coin flipNeutral🤏Slight Lean· 60/100OUTWIS

Why this grade

OUTWIS (Outs Recorded Wizard Intelligence Score) grades this Outs Over 11.5 pick at 60/100 — 🤏 Slight Lean. Across the real full season sample, Randy has cleared the line in 100% of the real games in that window. Strongest real components: Season Clear Rate & Trend Score (25.8/30), Vegas/Line Value (3.5/5), Team Bullpen Fatigue/Usage Score (9.8/15). Weakest real components: Recent Workload/Leash Score (12.6/30), Pitcher Efficiency Profile (5.4/30).

Pick ConfidenceNo clear edge either way
FDCBA+
Deterministic grade from real hit rates, streaks, odds & H2H — updates instantly with your filters

Pitch Arsenal vs. Tonight's Lineup

Real Statcast usage/velo for Randy Dobnak's own arsenal, next to DET's real weighted-average line against each exact pitch type.

PitchUsage / VeloOpp Lineup

Sinker

9 real batters w/ sample

43.1%92 mph
0.339

Sweeper

9 real batters w/ sample

23.1%82.1 mph
0.192

Changeup

9 real batters w/ sample

18.8%85.3 mph
0.229

4-Seam Fastball

9 real batters w/ sample

10.6%92.5 mph
0.237

Slider

9 real batters w/ sample

4.3%84 mph
0.270

Opp Lineup = real PA-weighted average BA of tonight's real confirmed opposing batters against this exact real pitch type (Baseball Savant pitch-arsenal leaderboard) — greener = tougher real matchup for that lineup on that pitch, redder = the real lineup hits it well. Only real pitch types with at least one real batter sample are shown.

Averages vs Righty & Lefty

Randy Dobnak's real 2026 season splits facing each pitcher hand.

vs LHB

BAA.250
OPS.669
K/93.86
WHIP1.29

3 G real sample

vs RHB

BAA.222
OPS.891
K/95.79
WHIP1.93

3 G real sample

Times Through the Order

Randy Dobnak's 2026results by how many times they've faced the lineup in a game (not innings). Savant Statcast · PA under 50 flagged.

SplitBAOBPSLGOPSBB%K%PA
1stsmall sample.182.333.227.56118.5%14.8%27
2ndsmall sample.296.296.593.8890%7.4%27
3rdsmall sample.200.500.200.70037.5%12.5%8
4th+——————0

1st → 3rd TTO penalty

OPS +.139 · BA +.018 · K% -2.3%

Hitters improve the third time through — classic fade signal when sample holds. Based on 27 / 8 PA.

By pitch count

Fatigue complement — MLB StatsAPI pitch-count buckets (combined to 1–30 / 31–60 / 61–75 / 76+).

SplitBAOBPSLGOPSBB%K%PA
1–30small sample.118.286.118.40319%19%21
31–60small sample.304.333.609.9424.2%8.3%24
61–75small sample.250.250.375.6250%0%8
76+small sample.286.500.429.92930%10%10

Matchup Analyzer

Simple version: each row lines up the real starting pitcher against the real opposing batter on one stat. The number in the circle is that player's real 2026 rank out of 99 compared to every other MLB player — so 70means they're better than about 70% of the league at that stat. Hover the next to any stat for a plain-English explanation.
Green = elite (60+ percentile) Grey = average (36-59) Red = weak (35 or below)
Randy Dobnak
Randy Dobnak
KC · SP · RHP
REAL MATCHUP · 2026C
Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers
PredictedKevin McGonigle
DET · SS · LHB
Kevin McGonigle
No real head-to-head at-bats yet between McGonigle and Dobnak.
Percentile rankings
Pitcher Hand Split
Batter Hand Split
Dobnak
Stat
McGonigle
.241
56

BA

Batting average

88
.282
12.9%
23

BB%

Walk rate

94
14.4%
11.3%
11

K%

Strikeout rate

90
13.9%
—

BABIP

Luck on balls in play

74
.317
—
0

xwOBA

Overall offensive quality (season)

87
—
—
0

Chase%

Swings at pitches outside the zone (season)

99
—
—
0

Whiff%

Swings that miss entirely (season)

89
—
—
0

Hard-Hit%

Balls hit 95+ mph (season)

33
—

MLB StatsAPI + Baseball Savant · 2026 season · true league percentile rank

Weather Impact

Comerica Park

Temperature

77°F

Wind

10 mph

Humidity

39%

Breezy at 10 mph.

Real forecast for this venue's real coordinates at the real scheduled first pitch (Open-Meteo) — not a book-guaranteed in-game reading.