SD@ATLThu @ 12:16 PM
MIN@CLEThu @ 1:11 PM
TB@TORThu @ 3:08 PM
AZ@STLThu @ 5:16 PM
KC@DETThu @ 6:41 PM
SD@ATLThu @ 12:16 PM
MIN@CLEThu @ 1:11 PM
TB@TORThu @ 3:08 PM
AZ@STLThu @ 5:16 PM
KC@DETThu @ 6:41 PM

Players

Royce Lewis

Royce Lewis

3BRHP / RHBHome Runs 0.5F

Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians · Thu @ 1:11 PM

F🚫
Avoid
UnderdogO +362DabbleO +1126U -1111PrizePicksO +100BetrO -137DraftKings Pick6O -137
MIN logoMIN
ProbO 13%U 87%

Best O +1058

Best U -1000

5 books ·UnderdogDabblePrizePicksBetrDraftKings Pick6

Real Home Runs Line · The Odds API

0.5
O +1058U -1000

Real DFS line · Season avg 0.1, 30 GP ·UnderdogDabblePrizePicksBetrDraftKings Pick6

Real Alt Ladder0.51.5

Game Log Home Runs

MLB StatsAPI · filtered 30/30 games
Pick GradeF
Line 0.5
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
7/8vs CLE
7/9vs CLE
7/10vs LAA
7/11vs LAA
7/12vs LAA
7/17@ CHC
7/19@ CHC
7/20@ CLE
7/21@ CLE
7/22@ CLE

Dashed line = line 0.5 · green = over · red = under · viewing L10

Supporting Stats

Real per-game MLB StatsAPI boxscore fields — tap a stat to feature it · matching active filters

5
4
4
4
3
4
4
4
4
5
07-0807-0907-1007-1107-1207-1707-1907-2007-2107-22
Line
App
Time
0.5
O +362Underdog
7/23, 11:33 AM
0.5
O +1126U -1111Dabble
7/23, 11:33 AM
0.5
O +100PrizePicks
7/23, 11:32 AM
0.5
O -137Betr
7/23, 11:33 AM
0.5
O -137DraftKings Pick6
7/23, 11:33 AM

Home Runs 0.5 · DFS Odds

Best Over+1058
Best Under-1000
Books quoting
UnderdogDabblePrizePicksBetrDraftKings Pick6

By App

Underdog0.5 O +3627/23, 11:33 AM
Dabble0.5 U -11117/23, 11:33 AM
PrizePicks0.5 O +1007/23, 11:32 AM
Betr0.5 O -1377/23, 11:33 AM
DraftKings Pick60.5 O -1377/23, 11:33 AM

Regular Season Averages

FGRADE
B+78PARK-H
Avoid — the real WIS breakdown leans against this sideAvoid🚫Avoid· 34/100HRWIS

Why this grade

HRWIS (Home Run Wizard Intelligence Score) grades this Home Runs Over 0.5 pick at 34/100 — 🚫 Avoid. Across the real full season sample, Royce has cleared the line in 20% of the real games in that window. Strongest real components: Contact Quality / Exit Velo Score (10.4/15), Weather/Park Factor (13.6/20), Pitch Mix Matchup Score (10/20). Weakest real components: Vegas/Line Value (0.6/5), Recent Form / Hot Streak Score (1/10).

Pick ConfidenceDo not play this prop
FDCBA+
Deterministic grade from real hit rates, streaks, odds & H2H — updates instantly with your filters

This Batter vs. Pitch Type

Royce Lewis's own real 2026 rates against each real pitch type he has a qualifying Statcast sample against.

PitchBA / wOBAWhiff%

4-Seam Fastball

Opp SP throws 23.6% · 97 mph

0.182/0.277
31.3%

Sinker

Opp SP throws 19.3% · 96.7 mph

0.255/0.353
20.8%

BA/wOBA and Whiff% are this batter's own real 2026 per-pitch-type Statcast splits (Baseball Savant) — greener Whiff% = better real contact skill against that specific pitch, redder = a real weakness. Pitch types with no real qualifying sample yet for this batter are omitted rather than shown as zero.

Averages vs Righty & Lefty

Royce Lewis's real 2026 season splits against each pitcher hand.

vs LHP

AVG.219
OPS.697
HR2
K%18.1%

37 G real sample

vs RHP

AVG.214
OPS.673
HR8
K%28.8%

65 G real sample

Matchup Analyzer

Simple version: each row lines up the real starting pitcher against the real opposing batter on one stat. The number in the circle is that player's real 2026 rank out of 99 compared to every other MLB player — so 70means they're better than about 70% of the league at that stat. Hover the next to any stat for a plain-English explanation.
Green = elite (60+ percentile) Grey = average (36-59) Red = weak (35 or below)
Gavin Williams
Gavin Williams
CLE · P · RHP
REAL MATCHUP · 2026F
Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians
Royce Lewis
MIN · · RHB
Royce Lewis
Real career H2H · Lewis vs Williams7 real games · 18 PA
18
AB
4
H
1
HR
0
BB
5
K
.222
AVG
Percentile rankings
Pitcher Hand Split
Batter Hand Split
Williams
Stat
Lewis
.226
67

BA

Batting average

31
.215
7.6%
68

BB%

Walk rate

62
9.4%
29.9%
91

K%

Strikeout rate

34
26%

BABIP

Luck on balls in play

28
.257
39

xwOBA

Overall offensive quality (season)

31
70

Chase%

Swings at pitches outside the zone (season)

36
80

Whiff%

Swings that miss entirely (season)

7
2

Hard-Hit%

Balls hit 95+ mph (season)

49

MLB StatsAPI + Baseball Savant · 2026 season · true league percentile rank

Weather Impact

Progressive Field

Temperature

74°F

Wind

6 mph

Humidity

51%

Partly Cloudy, 74°F — no notable real weather impact expected.

Real forecast for this venue's real coordinates at the real scheduled first pitch (Open-Meteo) — not a book-guaranteed in-game reading.