SD@ATLThu @ 12:16 PM•
MIN@CLEThu @ 1:11 PM•
TB@TORThu @ 3:08 PM•
AZ@STLThu @ 5:16 PM•
KC@DETThu @ 6:41 PM•
SD@ATLThu @ 12:16 PM•
MIN@CLEThu @ 1:11 PM•
TB@TORThu @ 3:08 PM•
AZ@STLThu @ 5:16 PM•
KC@DETThu @ 6:41 PM•

Players

Ryan Jeffers

Ryan Jeffers

RHP / RHB · Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians

Thu @ 1:11 PM

11 prop types

Batter Strikeouts3Doubles1Hits3Hits+Runs+RBIs6Home Runs2RBIs3Runs Scored2Singles2Total Bases5Triples1Walks2
Ryan Jeffers

Ryan Jeffers

CRHP / RHBHome Runs 0.5C-

Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians · Thu @ 1:11 PM

C-🚫
Below Avg
UnderdogO +324DabbleO +882U -833PrizePicksO +100BetrO -137DraftKings Pick6O -137
MIN logoMIN
ProbO 23%U 77%

Best O +931

Best U -909

5 books ·UnderdogDabblePrizePicksBetrDraftKings Pick6

Real Home Runs Line · The Odds API

0.5
O +931U -909

Real DFS line · Season avg 0.2, 30 GP ·UnderdogDabblePrizePicksBetrDraftKings Pick6

Real Alt Ladder0.51.5

Game Log — Home Runs

MLB StatsAPI · filtered 30/30 games
Pick GradeC-
Line 0.5
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
5/15vs MIL
5/16vs MIL
5/17vs MIL
5/18vs HOU
7/10vs LAA
7/12vs LAA
7/17@ CHC
7/18@ CHC
7/19@ CHC
7/21@ CLE

Dashed line = line 0.5 · green = over · red = under · viewing L10

Supporting Stats

Real per-game MLB StatsAPI boxscore fields — tap a stat to feature it · matching active filters

4
4
4
3
5
4
4
4
3
4
05-1505-1605-1705-1807-1007-1207-1707-1807-1907-21
Line
App
Time
0.5
O +324Underdog
7/23, 11:33 AM
0.5
O +882U -833Dabble
7/23, 11:33 AM
0.5
O +100PrizePicks
7/23, 11:32 AM
0.5
O -137Betr
7/23, 11:33 AM
0.5
O -137DraftKings Pick6
7/23, 11:33 AM

Home Runs 0.5 · DFS Odds

Best Over+931
Best Under-909
Books quoting
UnderdogDabblePrizePicksBetrDraftKings Pick6

By App

Underdog0.5 O +3247/23, 11:33 AM
Dabble0.5 U -8337/23, 11:33 AM
PrizePicks0.5 O +1007/23, 11:32 AM
Betr0.5 O -1377/23, 11:33 AM
DraftKings Pick60.5 O -1377/23, 11:33 AM

Regular Season Averages

C-GRADE
B+78PARK-H
Avoid — the real WIS breakdown leans against this sideBelow Avg🚫Avoid· 54/100HRWIS

Why this grade

HRWIS (Home Run Wizard Intelligence Score) grades this Home Runs Over 0.5 pick at 54/100 — 🚫 Avoid. Across the real full season sample, Ryan has cleared the line in 30% of the real games in that window. Strongest real components: Matchup History (BvP) (10.7/15), Weather/Park Factor (13.6/20), Batter Power Profile vs Handedness (23.1/35). Weakest real components: Recent Form / Hot Streak Score (3.9/10), Vegas/Line Value (0.7/5).

Pick ConfidenceWeak hit rate, questionable value
FDCBA+
Deterministic grade from real hit rates, streaks, odds & H2H — updates instantly with your filters

This Batter vs. Pitch Type

Ryan Jeffers's own real 2026 rates against each real pitch type he has a qualifying Statcast sample against.

PitchBA / wOBAWhiff%

4-Seam Fastball

Opp SP throws 23.6% · 97 mph

0.220/0.323
10.1%

BA/wOBA and Whiff% are this batter's own real 2026 per-pitch-type Statcast splits (Baseball Savant) — greener Whiff% = better real contact skill against that specific pitch, redder = a real weakness. Pitch types with no real qualifying sample yet for this batter are omitted rather than shown as zero.

Averages vs Righty & Lefty

Ryan Jeffers's real 2026 season splits against each pitcher hand.

vs LHP

AVG.315
OPS.967
HR2
K%10.4%

28 G real sample

vs RHP

AVG.270
OPS.938
HR7
K%18.1%

41 G real sample

Matchup Analyzer

Simple version: each row lines up the real starting pitcher against the real opposing batter on one stat. The number in the circle is that player's real 2026 rank out of 99 compared to every other MLB player — so 70means they're better than about 70% of the league at that stat. Hover the next to any stat for a plain-English explanation.
Green = elite (60+ percentile) Grey = average (36-59) Red = weak (35 or below)
Gavin Williams
Gavin Williams
CLE · P · RHP
REAL MATCHUP · 2026C-
Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians
Ryan Jeffers
MIN · — · RHB
Ryan Jeffers
Real career H2H · Jeffers vs Williams7 real games · 16 PA
16
AB
6
H
0
HR
0
BB
3
K
.375
AVG
Percentile rankings
Pitcher Hand Split
Batter Hand Split
Williams
Stat
Jeffers
.226
67

BA

Batting average

91
.287
7.6%
68

BB%

Walk rate

95
15.1%
29.9%
91

K%

Strikeout rate

86
15.1%
—

BABIP

Luck on balls in play

59
.294
—
39

xwOBA

Overall offensive quality (season)

—
—
70

Chase%

Swings at pitches outside the zone (season)

—
—
80

Whiff%

Swings that miss entirely (season)

—
—
2

Hard-Hit%

Balls hit 95+ mph (season)

—

MLB StatsAPI + Baseball Savant · 2026 season · true league percentile rank

Weather Impact

Progressive Field

Temperature

74°F

Wind

6 mph

Humidity

51%

Partly Cloudy, 74°F — no notable real weather impact expected.

Real forecast for this venue's real coordinates at the real scheduled first pitch (Open-Meteo) — not a book-guaranteed in-game reading.