SD@ATLThu @ 12:16 PM•
MIN@CLEThu @ 1:11 PM•
TB@TORThu @ 3:08 PM•
AZ@STLThu @ 5:16 PM•
KC@DETThu @ 6:41 PM•
SD@ATLThu @ 12:16 PM•
MIN@CLEThu @ 1:11 PM•
TB@TORThu @ 3:08 PM•
AZ@STLThu @ 5:16 PM•
KC@DETThu @ 6:41 PM•

Players

Shane Bieber

Shane Bieber

RHP / RHB · Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays

Thu @ 3:08 PM

6 prop types

Earned Runs6Hits Allowed7Outs4Pitcher Fantasy Score3Pitcher Walks4Strikeouts7
Shane Bieber

Shane Bieber

PRHP / RHBStrikeouts 7.5F

Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays · Thu @ 3:08 PM

Opp K Rank: 1st(18.9% K)

F🚫
Avoid
PrizePicksO +100DraftKings Pick6O -137
TOR logoTOR
ProbO 0%U 100%

Best O +100

Best U —

2 books ·PrizePicksDraftKings Pick6

Real Strikeouts Line · The Odds API

7.5
O +100U —

Real DFS line · Season avg 3.8, 5 GP ·PrizePicksDraftKings Pick6

Real Alt Ladder2.53.544.55.56.57.5

Game Log — Strikeouts

MLB StatsAPI · filtered 5/5 games
Pick GradeF
Line 7.5
2
4
3
4
6
6/23vs HOU
6/28vs TEX
7/4@ SEA
7/10@ SD
7/18vs CWS

Dashed line = line 7.5 · green = over · red = under · viewing L10

Supporting Stats

Real per-game MLB StatsAPI boxscore fields — tap a stat to feature it · matching active filters

3.7
5.3
4
4.7
6
06-2306-2807-0407-1007-18
Line
App
Time
7.5
O +100PrizePicks
7/23, 11:33 AM
7.5
O -137DraftKings Pick6
7/23, 11:33 AM

Strikeouts 7.5 · DFS Odds

Best Over+100
Best Under—
Books quoting
PrizePicksDraftKings Pick6

By App

PrizePicks7.5 O +1007/23, 11:33 AM
DraftKings Pick67.5 O -1377/23, 11:33 AM

Regular Season Averages

FGRADE
B-67PARK-P
Avoid — the real WIS breakdown leans against this sideAvoid🚫Avoid· 16/100SWIS

Why this grade

SWIS (Strikeout Wizard Intelligence Score) grades this Strikeouts Over 7.5 pick at 16/100 — 🚫 Avoid. Across the real full season sample, Shane has cleared the line in 0% of the real games in that window. Strongest real components: Umpire / Park K Factor (2.9/5), Vegas/Line Value (2.8/6), Arsenal Matchup vs Lineup (1.9/5). Weakest real components: Pitcher Stuff & Whiff Score (1.5/30), Recent Form Score (0/12).

Pick ConfidenceDo not play this prop
FDCBA+
Deterministic grade from real hit rates, streaks, odds & H2H — updates instantly with your filters

Pitch Arsenal vs. Tonight's Lineup

Real Statcast usage/velo for Shane Bieber's own arsenal, next to TB's real weighted-average line against each exact pitch type.

PitchUsage / VeloOpp Lineup

4-Seam Fastball

9 real batters w/ sample

35.6%92.2 mph
0.246

Changeup

9 real batters w/ sample

21.2%88.1 mph
0.250

Curveball

9 real batters w/ sample

19.2%82.8 mph
0.255

Cutter

9 real batters w/ sample

13.4%87.4 mph
0.280

Slider

9 real batters w/ sample

9.5%84.9 mph
0.248

Sinker

9 real batters w/ sample

1.2%92.6 mph
0.338

Opp Lineup = real PA-weighted average BA of tonight's real confirmed opposing batters against this exact real pitch type (Baseball Savant pitch-arsenal leaderboard) — greener = tougher real matchup for that lineup on that pitch, redder = the real lineup hits it well. Only real pitch types with at least one real batter sample are shown.

Averages vs Righty & Lefty

Shane Bieber's real 2026 season splits facing each pitcher hand.

vs LHB

BAA.208
OPS.812
K/97.62
WHIP1.46

5 G real sample

vs RHB

BAA.396
OPS1.139
K/96.75
WHIP2.06

5 G real sample

Times Through the Order

Shane Bieber's 2026results by how many times they've faced the lineup in a game (not innings). Savant Statcast · PA under 50 flagged.

SplitBAOBPSLGOPSBB%K%PA
1stsmall sample.341.400.585.9858.9%17.8%45
2ndsmall sample.275.356.6501.00611.1%13.3%45
3rdsmall sample.267.389.467.85616.7%27.8%18
4th+——————0

1st → 3rd TTO penalty

OPS -.129 · BA -.074 · K% +10%

This pitcher holds or improves the third time through (sample permitting). Based on 45 / 18 PA.

By pitch count

Fatigue complement — MLB StatsAPI pitch-count buckets (combined to 1–30 / 31–60 / 61–75 / 76+).

SplitBAOBPSLGOPSBB%K%PA
1–30small sample.267.353.567.92011.8%20.6%34
31–60small sample.378.452.8111.26311.9%7.1%42
61–75small sample.211.286.211.4969.5%23.8%21
76+small sample.250.357.500.85714.3%28.6%14

Matchup Analyzer

Simple version: each row lines up the real starting pitcher against the real opposing batter on one stat. The number in the circle is that player's real 2026 rank out of 99 compared to every other MLB player — so 70means they're better than about 70% of the league at that stat. Hover the next to any stat for a plain-English explanation.
Green = elite (60+ percentile) Grey = average (36-59) Red = weak (35 or below)
Shane Bieber
Shane Bieber
TOR · SP · RHP
REAL MATCHUP · 2026F
Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays
PredictedYandy Díaz
TB · DH · RHB
Yandy Díaz
Real career H2H · Díaz vs Bieber2 real games · 7 PA
6
AB
1
H
0
HR
1
BB
2
K
.167
AVG
Percentile rankings
Pitcher Hand Split
Batter Hand Split
Bieber
Stat
Díaz
.302
18

BA

Batting average

96
.308
11.1%
32

BB%

Walk rate

58
9.1%
17.6%
30

K%

Strikeout rate

90
13.8%
—

BABIP

Luck on balls in play

83
.332
—
0

xwOBA

Overall offensive quality (season)

88
—
—
0

Chase%

Swings at pitches outside the zone (season)

64
—
—
0

Whiff%

Swings that miss entirely (season)

94
—
—
0

Hard-Hit%

Balls hit 95+ mph (season)

83
—

MLB StatsAPI + Baseball Savant · 2026 season · true league percentile rank

Weather Impact

Rogers Centre

Temperature

69°F

Wind

11 mph

Humidity

67%

Retractable roof (open/closed status isn't available from a free source, so treat this as the outdoor forecast only). Breezy at 11 mph.

Real forecast for this venue's real coordinates at the real scheduled first pitch (Open-Meteo) — not a book-guaranteed in-game reading.