Luca Rafaelli Props — Lines, Grades & Hit Rates

Instituto @ Independiente›Fri, Oct 2, 6:15 PM

OVER 1.5›Shots

Not graded

FORM AGAINST THE OVER

Blended hit rate 12.8% against the book's own implied 50% — an edge of -37.2pp.

DEF

/ 30

15

average defense

SHOTS ALLOWED

/ 30

15

average defense

DEF

/ 30

15

average defense

SHOTS ALLOWED

/ 30

15

average defense

ARGENTINE LIGA PROFESIONAL DE FÚTBOL

SIGNALS

▼

3 straight under 1.5

Rafaelli has gone under this line in each of the last 3.

▲

Pace & Tempo — High-Octane / End-to-End

Combined profile: both sides average 14.41 shots a match, 384.32 passes. Helps Shots, Shots on Target, Goalkeeper Saves. Hurts Passes Attempted.

Shots

Last 9 games

1/9 OVER

?

1.5

1/23
10/2

Last 9 games

1/9 OVER

?

1.5

1/23
10/2

ARGENTINE LIGA PROFESIONAL DE FÚTBOL

SIGNALS

▼

3 straight under 1.5

Rafaelli has gone under this line in each of the last 3.

▲

Pace & Tempo — High-Octane / End-to-End

Combined profile: both sides average 14.41 shots a match, 384.32 passes. Helps Shots, Shots on Target, Goalkeeper Saves. Hurts Passes Attempted.

Gamelog

TINT = CLEARED THE LINE

DATE

OPP

MIN

SHOTS

SOT

G

A

KP

xG

TCH

DRB

2026-03-22

CABJ

—

0

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-03-17

IND

—

1

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-03-12

TALL

—

1

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-03-01

USF

—

3

1

1

0

—

—

—

—

2026-02-24

SLO

—

0

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-02-20

CAT

—

0

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-02-16

CTR

—

0

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-01-26

PLA

—

1

1

0

1

—

—

—

—

2026-01-23

VEL

—

0

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

SOCCER · 9 GAMES

Advanced averages

SPLIT

W-D-L

SHOTS

SOT

All

—

0.7

0.2

—

Home

—

0.8

0.2

—

Away

—

0.5

0.3

—

vs top 6

—

full 90

—

sub

—

H2H

—

1.0

0.0

—