Matías Reali Props — Lines, Grades & Hit Rates

San Lorenzo @ Def. y Jus.›Sat, Oct 3, 1:45 PM

OVER 1.5›Shots

COIN FLIP

Blended hit rate 44.3% against the book's own implied 50% — an edge of -5.7pp.

DEF

/ 30

29

stingy defense

SHOTS ALLOWED

/ 30

7

soft defense

DEF

/ 30

29

stingy defense

SHOTS ALLOWED

/ 30

7

soft defense

ARGENTINE LIGA PROFESIONAL DE FÚTBOL

SIGNALS

▼

2 straight under 1.5

Reali has gone under this line in each of the last 2.

▲

Pace & Tempo — High-Octane / End-to-End

Combined profile: both sides average 12.23 shots a match, 399 passes. Helps Shots, Shots on Target, Goalkeeper Saves. Hurts Passes Attempted.

Shots

Last 10 games

5/10 OVER

?

1.5

4/12
10/3

Last 10 games

5/10 OVER

?

1.5

4/12
10/3

ARGENTINE LIGA PROFESIONAL DE FÚTBOL

SIGNALS

▼

2 straight under 1.5

Reali has gone under this line in each of the last 2.

▲

Pace & Tempo — High-Octane / End-to-End

Combined profile: both sides average 12.23 shots a match, 399 passes. Helps Shots, Shots on Target, Goalkeeper Saves. Hurts Passes Attempted.

Gamelog

TINT = CLEARED THE LINE

DATE

OPP

MIN

SHOTS

SOT

G

A

KP

xG

TCH

DRB

2026-09-20

CABJ

—

0

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-09-01

IACC

—

0

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-08-21

AAE

—

2

1

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-08-15

USF

—

2

2

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-08-04

CTR

—

1

1

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-05-10

RIV

—

0

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-05-02

IND

—

2

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-04-25

PLA

—

2

2

0

1

—

—

—

—

2026-04-20

VEL

—

2

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-04-12

NOB

—

0

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

SOCCER · 10 GAMES

Advanced averages

SPLIT

W-D-L

SHOTS

SOT

All

—

1.2

0.5

—

Home

—

1.5

0.5

—

Away

—

0.9

0.5

—

vs top 6

—

full 90

—

sub

—

H2H

—