Miguel Almirón
Atlanta vs NYCFC · Sat, Sep 26, 7:30 PM
D-
STRONG LEAN OVER
Blended hit rate 67.8% against the book's own implied 50% — an edge of +17.8pp.
Matchup Exploit 8.4/20 (42%) — graded D- from the 3 real sections on the card below.
Shots
CLEARED
MISSED
LINE 1.5
7
1
2
2
2
1
3
1
4
3
7/25
@ NE
8/1
@ PHI
8/15
vs RBNY
8/20
@ MIN
8/23
vs SKC
8/29
vs CLT
9/6
@ MIA
9/9
vs ORL
9/12
@ DC
9/20
@ POR
SOCCER
SIGNALS
2 straight over 1.5
Almirón has gone over this line in each of the last 2.
Pace & Tempo — Balanced Tempo
Combined profile: both sides average 12.25 shots a match, 469.29 passes. Helps Goals, Shots on Target.
Gamelog
DATE
OPP
MIN
SHOTS
SOT
G
A
KP
xG
TCH
DRB
2026-09-20
POR
3
1
0
0
2026-09-12
DC
4
0
0
0
2026-09-09
ORL
1
0
0
0
2026-09-06
MIA
3
2
1
0
2026-08-29
CLT
1
0
0
0
2026-08-23
SKC
2
1
0
1
2026-08-20
MIN
2
1
0
0
2026-08-15
RBNY
2
0
0
1
2026-08-01
PHI
1
1
1
0
2026-07-25
NE
7
4
1
0
SOCCER · 10 GAMES

Advanced averages

SPLIT
W-D-L
SHOTS
SOT
G
A
xG
All
52
2.3
0.8
10
9
Home
25
2.0
0.8
6
9
Away
27
2.6
0.8
4
0
vs top 6
full 90
sub
H2H