Paulo Díaz Props — Lines, Grades & Hit Rates

18418

Atlanta vs NYCFC · Sat, Sep 26, 7:30 PM

18418

Atlanta vs NYCFC · Sat, Sep 26, 7:30 PM

D+

FORM AGAINST THE OVER

Blended hit rate 34.4% against the book's own implied 50% — an edge of -15.6pp.

Matchup Exploit 7.8/20 (39%) — graded D+ from the 3 real sections on the card below.

SIGNALS

▲

Pace & Tempo — Balanced Tempo

Combined profile: both sides average 12.25 shots a match, 469.29 passes. Helps Goals, Shots on Target.

Shots

CLEARED

MISSED

LINE 0.5

0

0

0

1

1

0

0

8/20

@ MIN

8/23

vs SKC

8/29

vs CLT

9/6

@ MIA

9/9

vs ORL

9/12

@ DC

9/20

@ POR

CLEARED

MISSED

LINE 0.5

0

0

0

1

1

0

0

8/20

@ MIN

8/23

vs SKC

8/29

vs CLT

9/6

@ MIA

9/9

vs ORL

9/12

@ DC

9/20

@ POR

SOCCER

SIGNALS

▲

Pace & Tempo — Balanced Tempo

Combined profile: both sides average 12.25 shots a match, 469.29 passes. Helps Goals, Shots on Target.

Gamelog

TINT = CLEARED THE LINE

DATE

OPP

MIN

SHOTS

SOT

G

A

KP

xG

TCH

DRB

2026-09-20

POR

—

0

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-09-12

—

0

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-09-09

ORL

—

1

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-09-06

MIA

—

1

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-08-29

CLT

—

0

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-08-23

SKC

—

0

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

2026-08-20

MIN

—

0

0

0

0

—

—

—

—

SOCCER · 7 GAMES

Advanced averages

SPLIT

W-D-L

SHOTS

SOT

All

—

0.3

0.0

—

Home

—

0.3

0.0

—

Away

—

0.3

0.0

—

vs top 6

—

full 90

—

sub

—

H2H

—