Raul Gustavo Props — Lines, Grades & Hit Rates

17606

NYCFC @ Atlanta · Sat, Sep 26, 7:30 PM

Raul Gustavo

17606

NYCFC @ Atlanta · Sat, Sep 26, 7:30 PM

FORM AGAINST THE OVER

Blended hit rate 16.9% against the book's own implied 50% — an edge of -33.1pp.

Matchup Exploit 10.1/20 (51%) — graded C from the 3 real sections on the card below. Recent hit rate 10% (10 matches) and season hit rate 33% (30 matches) are both weak — spec Section 10 caps this at C.

SIGNALS

▼

6 straight under 1.5

Gustavo has gone under this line in each of the last 6.

▲

Pace & Tempo — Balanced Tempo

Combined profile: both sides average 12.25 shots a match, 469.29 passes. Helps Goals, Shots on Target.

Tackles

CLEARED

MISSED

LINE 1.5

5/13

@ Charlotte FC

5/16

@ New York Red Bulls

5/20

@ Columbus Crew

5/24

@ Nashville SC

8/16

vs Philadelphia Union

8/19

@ FC Cincinnati

8/23

@ New England Revolution

8/29

@ Toronto FC

9/4

vs Nashville SC

9/10

vs New England Revolution

CLEARED

MISSED

LINE 1.5

5/13

@ Charlotte FC

5/16

@ New York Red Bulls

5/20

@ Columbus Crew

5/24

@ Nashville SC

8/16

vs Philadelphia Union

8/19

@ FC Cincinnati

8/23

@ New England Revolution

8/29

@ Toronto FC

9/4

vs Nashville SC

9/10

vs New England Revolution

SOCCER

SIGNALS

▼

6 straight under 1.5

Gustavo has gone under this line in each of the last 6.

▲

Pace & Tempo — Balanced Tempo

Combined profile: both sides average 12.25 shots a match, 469.29 passes. Helps Goals, Shots on Target.

Gamelog

TINT = CLEARED THE LINE

DATE

OPP

MIN

SHOTS

SOT

G

A

KP

xG

TCH

DRB

TACKLES

2026-09-10

REV

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

1

2026-09-04

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

1

2026-08-29

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

1

2026-08-23

REV

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

0

2026-08-19

CIN

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

1

2026-08-16

UNI

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

0

2026-05-24

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

3

2026-05-20

CRE

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

1

2026-05-16

BUL

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

1

2026-05-13

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

1

SOCCER · 10 GAMES