Steven Alzate
Atlanta vs NYCFC · Sat, Sep 26, 7:30 PM
C
FORM AGAINST THE OVER
Blended hit rate 20% against the book's own implied 50% — an edge of -30pp.
Matchup Exploit 10.5/20 (53%) — graded C from the 3 real sections on the card below. Recent hit rate 25% (8 matches) and season hit rate 25% (8 matches) are both weak — spec Section 10 caps this at C.
Tackles
CLEARED
MISSED
LINE 2.5
3
3
1
1
2
0
1
1
2/12
@ Burnley
8/31
@ Nashville SC
10/6
@ Los Angeles FC
10/11
@ Inter Miami CF
3/1
@ San Jose Earthquakes
3/8
vs Real Salt Lake
8/20
@ Minnesota United
9/6
@ Inter Miami CF
SOCCER
SIGNALS
6 straight under 2.5
Alzate has gone under this line in each of the last 6.
Pace & Tempo — Balanced Tempo
Combined profile: both sides average 12.25 shots a match, 469.29 passes. Helps Goals, Shots on Target.
Gamelog
DATE
OPP
MIN
SHOTS
SOT
G
A
KP
xG
TCH
DRB
TACKLES
2026-09-06
CF
1
2026-08-20
UNI
1
2026-03-08
LAK
0
2026-03-01
EAR
2
2025-10-11
CF
1
2025-10-06
FC
1
2025-08-31
SC
3
2025-02-12
BURNLEY
3
SOCCER · 8 GAMES